BracketBot: February 15, 2019

Seed List:

1: Duke, Gonzaga, Virginia, Tennessee
2: Michigan State, Kansas, Michigan, Kentucky
3: Houston, North Carolina, Texas Tech, Purdue
4: LSU, Marquette, Louisville, Nevada
5: Virginia Tech, Villanova, Iowa State, Maryland
6: Kansas State, Wisconsin, Florida State, Mississippi State
7: Auburn, Iowa, Cincinnati, Texas
8: Buffalo, TCU, Syracuse, Baylor
9: Washington, Oklahoma, Ohio State, Ole Miss
10: UCF, St John’s, VCU, Alabama
11: Clemson, Nebraska, Arizona State, Indiana, Seton Hall
12: Minnesota, NC State, Wofford, New Mexico State, Lipscomb
13: Hofstra, Old Dominion, Vermont, UC Irvine
14: Murray State, Yale, Loyola IL, N Kentucky
15: South Dakota State, Bucknell, Texas State, Montana
16: Radford, Abilene Christian, Texas Southern, Rider, Sacred Heart, Norfolk State

New at-large teams in this bracket: NC State, Seton Hall, bumping Butler and Florida. Butler lost this week, and NC State had a nice win, but the juxtaposition of Seton Hall and Florida has more to do with math than basketball. As the season goes along, BracketBot pays more attention to résumés, and less attention to efficiency metrics – that was a conscious decision by me, so that brackets earlier in the season looked like previews of what we’d see by March, but a couple of teams have failed to live up to their efficiencies with wins, primarily Nebraska and Florida. Nebraska survives in this update, moving down despite a win over Minnesota, but Florida doesn’t. So they’re out, and the Seton Hall Pirates are back in, reversing the change between Sunday and Tuesday’s brackets.

On the AQ side, Abilene Christian returns as the projected Southland winner. Despite trailing Sam Houston State by three games, the ACU Wildcats would be favored to beat the SHSU Bearkats in a tournament game 51.3% of the time, according to BracketBot.

Last Four Byes: Alabama, Clemson, Nebraska, Arizona State
Last Four In: Indiana, Seton Hall, Minnesota, NC State
First Four Out: Butler, Florida, Toledo, Temple
Next Four Out: St Mary’s, Utah State, Arkansas, Creighton

Bids by conference:
Big Ten 10, ACC 9, Big XII 8, SEC 7, Big East 4, AAC 3, Pac-12 2

Full bracket:

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