BracketBot: February 12, 2019

Seed List:

1: Duke, Gonzaga, Virginia, Tennessee
2: Michigan, Kentucky, Michigan State, Kansas
3: North Carolina, Purdue, Houston, Nevada
4: Marquette, Texas Tech, Virginia Tech, LSU
5: Villanova, Wisconsin, Louisville, Iowa State
6: Florida State, Auburn, Kansas State, Maryland
7: Texas, Cincinnati, Mississippi State, Syracuse
8: Iowa, TCU, Washington, Buffalo
9: Clemson, Ohio State, Baylor, Oklahoma
10: UCF, Alabama, Indiana, Nebraska
11: St John’s, Arizona State, Florida, Ole Miss, Butler, Minnesota
12: VCU, Wofford, Lipscomb, New Mexico State
13: Vermont, Old Dominion, Hofstra, UC Irvine
14: Murray State, Loyola IL, Yale, South Dakota State
15: N Kentucky, Montana, Bucknell, Radford
16: Texas State, Sam Houston State, Rider, Texas Southern, Sacred Heart, Norfolk State

Made changes to the formula again today, now including a strength-of-win component, which seems to more accurately reflect what the committee’s looking for. I had a version of that in the mix before, but it was poorly implemented and pretty much reflected the résumé ratings that teams already had, so there was little or no effect.

Neither of these teams has played since the last update, but due to the formula change, Florida is in the bracket and Seton Hall is out. The other 67 teams are the same, so the main effect is in how these teams are ordered.

Last Four Byes: Indiana, Nebraska, St John’s, Arizona State
Last Four In: Florida, Ole Miss, Butler, Minnesota
First Four Out: Oregon, Seton Hall, Creighton, NC State
Next Four Out: St Mary’s, Arkansas, Temple, Toledo

Bids by conference:
Big Ten 10, Big XII/ACC/SEC 8, Big East 4, AAC 3, Pac-12 2

Full bracket: no issues with placement this time, the teams fit in the bracket as assigned on the seed list.

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